US Open Upset Alert? De Minaur Favored Heavily vs. Mochizuki!

The US Open is heating up, and one Round of 64 matchup has caught the eye: Shintaro Mochizuki [Ranked 112th] versus Alex de Minaur [Ranked 8th]. Scheduled for Thursday, August 28, this hard-court battle promises to be an intriguing contest between a rising star and a seasoned pro.

De Minaur's Dominance: Odds and Stats

Alex de Minaur enters as the heavy favorite, with odds of -3030, reflecting his higher ranking and consistent performance. Mochizuki, the underdog, has odds of +1050. These odds, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook, translate to a massive 96.8% implied probability of victory for de Minaur.

Looking at their hard-court performance over the past year, de Minaur boasts a 32-15 record across 14 tournaments, including a tournament victory. His service game is particularly strong, winning 79.9% of service games and 29.8% of return games on hard surfaces. He also excels at converting break points, securing 45.6% of them.

Mochizuki's Uphill Battle

While Mochizuki has a respectable 9-7 record on hard courts in the last year, his statistics are less impressive than de Minaur's. He wins 68.1% of his service games and 29.8% of his return games. His break point conversion rate is 41.1%. In his most recent outing at the Western & Southern Open, Mochizuki fell in the Qualification Round 2 to Chak Lam Coleman Wong.

Prediction: Can Mochizuki Pull Off the Upset?

Given the odds and their recent performances, de Minaur is the clear favorite. However, tennis is a sport where anything can happen. Mochizuki will need to bring his A-game and capitalize on any opportunities to challenge de Minaur's dominance. The key for Mochizuki will be to improve his serve and put pressure on de Minaur's return game. Will the underdog defy the odds and advance in the US Open? Tune in to find out!

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