China Open Upset Alert? Griekspoor vs. Moutet Predictions Revealed!

By: Danilo Pérez Published On: 26/09/2025

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China Open: Moutet vs. Griekspoor - A Clash on Hard Courts

The 2025 China Open is heating up, and Friday features an intriguing Round of 32 matchup: Corentin Moutet (ranked No. 37) against Tallon Griekspoor (ranked No. 31). Moutet enters as the favorite, but can Griekspoor pull off the upset?

According to early odds, Moutet is favored with a -145 moneyline, implying a 59.2% chance of victory. Griekspoor is the underdog at +110. However, tennis is a game of momentum and strategy, and anything can happen on the court.

Moutet's Hard Court Prowess

Corentin Moutet has a 12-9 record in eight hard-court tournaments this year. His service game is particularly strong, winning 94.5% of his service games on hard courts. He also converts nearly 40% of his break point opportunities.

Griekspoor's Hard Court Struggles

Tallon Griekspoor's hard-court record this year is 11-11 across eleven tournaments. While he wins a solid 77.6% of his service games, his return game needs improvement, winning only 20.8% of return games. He also converts a lower percentage of break points than Moutet, at 36.4%.

Expert Predictions Favor Moutet

Advanced tennis models and simulations suggest Corentin Moutet has a higher probability of winning, around 56%. However, the margins are slim, and Griekspoor's experience could play a factor.

Ultimately, the Moutet vs. Griekspoor match promises to be a competitive battle. While Moutet is the favorite, Griekspoor has the potential to surprise. Tennis fans should be sure to tune in and watch this exciting contest unfold!