Cobolli vs. Nishioka: Citi Open Showdown! Who Will Dominate?

By: María Fernández Published On: 23/07/2025

Sports Sports Sports Sports Sports

Get ready for an exciting Round of 32 matchup at the Citi Open as Flavio Cobolli (ranked No. 18) faces off against Yoshihito Nishioka (ranked No. 89) on Wednesday, July 23rd. All eyes are on this hard-court battle!

Cobolli Favored, But Nishioka Ready to Upset

Flavio Cobolli enters the match as the favorite, with odds of -275, reflecting a 73.3% implied probability of winning. However, Yoshihito Nishioka, the underdog at +210, is certainly capable of pulling off an upset. This promises to be a thrilling contest between two skilled players.

Cobolli's Hard Court Performance

Over the past year, Cobolli has posted a 13-13 record on hard courts. His serve has been a significant weapon, winning 76.8% of his service games. He's also converted 35.4% of his break points, showcasing his ability to capitalize on opportunities.

Nishioka's Hard Court Experience

Nishioka boasts a 16-13 record on hard courts in the last 12 months, including one tournament victory. He has a solid 79.6% winning percentage in service games and converts 41.2% of his break points. His experience and resilience make him a dangerous opponent.

Expert Predictions

Dimers.com's advanced tennis model predicts Flavio Cobolli as the most likely winner, giving him a 60% chance of victory. However, Greg Butyn, a data analyst at Dimers, notes that Nishioka has a 40% chance, highlighting the potential for a surprise outcome. The model also gives Cobolli a 58% chance of winning the first set.

Don't miss this exciting match! Tune in to the Tennis Channel and Fubo to watch Cobolli and Nishioka battle it out for a spot in the Round of 16 at the Citi Open.