Osaka vs Sevastova: Who Will Dominate the National Bank Open?

By: Analia Gómez Published On: 03/08/2025

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Get ready for a thrilling showdown at the National Bank Open as Naomi Osaka clashes with Anastasija Sevastova in the Round of 16! This match promises to be a captivating battle between two players with impressive recent form.

Sevastova's Remarkable Comeback

Anastasija Sevastova, currently ranked No. 386, is making waves with her resurgence. The 35-year-old Latvian wildcard, who once held the No. 11 spot in the world, took a break from the tour. Her journey at the Canadian Open 2025 has been nothing short of spectacular, with victories over formidable opponents like Ajla Tomljanovic, Magda Linette, and Jessica Pegula.

Osaka's Pursuit of Former Glory

Naomi Osaka, ranked No. 49, has also shown glimpses of her past brilliance throughout 2025. Her performance at the DC Open last month, where she reached the Round of 16 before losing to Emma Raducanu, showcased her determination to return to the top. Osaka has demonstrated dominance in most of her matches, including a hard-fought three-set victory against Liudmila Samsonova.

Head-to-Head Record

Osaka holds a 3-2 lead in their head-to-head record. Their last encounter, back in 2019, saw Osaka emerge victorious in three sets at the Australian Open. Both players were at their peak during that match, making this renewed rivalry even more exciting.

Key Factors to Watch

Serving Pressure: Osaka's strong serve, with a high percentage of first-serve points won, could put Sevastova under pressure, especially on her return and backhand.
Sevastova's Grit: Known for her tactical intelligence and ability to excel in extended rallies, Sevastova will likely attack short balls and disrupt Osaka's rhythm with precision and variety.
Mental Balance: The mental aspect of the game will be crucial. Osaka must maintain her composure and avoid unforced errors if Sevastova manages to prolong rallies.

Betting Odds and Prediction

Osaka is the favourite with odds of -450, implying an 81.8% chance of winning. However, Sevastova's comeback story and tactical prowess make her a dangerous opponent. While Osaka is expected to win, expect a tough fight. Prediction: Osaka in three sets.